Fact-Check: Trump’s Major Claims from November 30, 2025 Air Force One Press Gaggle

on

Assistance from Claude AI. For a summary of the gaggle, click here.

Summary: Trump’s Air Force One press gaggle contained multiple false, exaggerated, or unsubstantiated claims across foreign policy, immigration, and healthcare topics. The most egregious included mathematically impossible drug pricing promises, wildly inflated Ukraine casualty figures, and debunked allegations about Representative Ilhan Omar. While some claims reflected real policy initiatives (such as “most favored nations” drug pricing), the specific numbers and characterizations were inaccurate or misleading.


Claim 1: “27,000 people killed last month” / “last week” in Ukraine war

Verdict: FALSE / EXTREMELY EXAGGERATED

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated in February 2025 that over 46,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed total since the war began in February 2022. The total number of civilian deaths recorded by OHCHR as of October 31, 2025 was 14,534 since the war’s start.

Verified Russian military deaths reached at least 152,142 as of November 29, 2025, according to BBC Russian and Mediazona’s count based on obituaries and court records. Ukraine’s defense forces reported Russia suffered approximately 1,145,670 total casualties (killed and wounded combined) between February 24, 2022 and November 4, 2025, with 840 soldiers killed or wounded in a single 24-hour period.

Trump’s claim of 27,000 deaths in a month or week is unsupported by any credible casualty data. Daily casualty rates for both sides combined typically range in the hundreds to low thousands, not the 900+ per day that would be required for Trump’s figure.

Sources:

  • Wikipedia. (2025, November 29). Casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian war. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_war
  • The Moscow Times. (2025, November 29). Verified Russian deaths in Ukraine war surpass 150K – Independent tally. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/11/29/verified-russian-deaths-in-ukraine-war-surpass-150k-independent-tally-a91279
  • Ukrinform. (2025, November 4). Russia loses 840 soldiers in Ukraine war over past day. https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4054733-russia-loses-840-soldiers-in-ukraine-war-over-past-day.html

Claim 2: Venezuela “sent millions of people” from “jails, from gangs, from drug dealers” to the United States

Verdict: UNSUBSTANTIATED

PolitiFact investigated this claim in 2022 and was unable to find any evidence of a DHS intelligence report or any proof that Venezuela is deliberately releasing prisoners and sending them to the U.S.. The claim’s only source was an article from the conservative website Breitbart citing an anonymous source.

Roque Planas, author of “The Aragua Train,” stated there is no element, no evidence, nothing that indicates prisoners in Venezuela are being released to leave or be sent to the United States to commit crimes. Carlos Nieto, whose organization has monitored Venezuelan prisons for over 25 years, told fact-checkers he has observed no evidence supporting the claim and confirmed there is no official state policy to that effect.

While some Venezuelan migrants may have criminal backgrounds, there is no verified evidence of a coordinated government program to empty prisons and send criminals to the U.S.

Sources:

  • PolitiFact. (2024, April 4). No, the FBI did not say Venezuela sent its prison population to the U.S. https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2024/apr/04/instagram-posts/no-the-fbi-did-not-say-venezuela-sent-its-prison-p/
  • FactCheck.org. (2024, June 21). Crime drop in Venezuela does not prove Trump’s claim the country is sending criminals to U.S. https://www.factcheck.org/2024/06/crime-drop-in-venezuela-does-not-prove-trumps-claim-the-country-is-sending-criminals-to-u-s/

Claim 3: Juan Orlando Hernández conviction was a “Biden administration setup”

Verdict: FALSE

Juan Orlando Hernández was convicted on March 8, 2024 in Manhattan federal court on all three counts after a jury trial, including conspiring to import cocaine into the United States and related firearms offenses. The evidence at trial showed Hernández participated in one of the largest and most violent drug-trafficking conspiracies in the world from at least 2004 through 2022, facilitating the importation of over 400 tons of cocaine into the U.S..

The trial relied primarily on testimony from witnesses and convicted drug traffickers, with key physical evidence including intercepted phone calls, ledgers recording bribes paid by drug traffickers to Hernández, and photographs of Hernández with members of the Valle cartel. Hernández’s brother, Juan Antonio Hernández Alvarado, was convicted after trial in October 2019 and sentenced to life in prison, and co-conspirator Geovanny Fuentes Ramirez was convicted in March 2021 and sentenced to life.

The investigation and prosecution spanned multiple years and administrations, with substantial evidence presented at trial. Characterizing this as a “setup” contradicts the jury verdict and extensive evidence.

Sources:

  • U.S. Department of Justice. (2024, March 8). Juan Orlando Hernandez, former president of Honduras, convicted in Manhattan federal court. https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/juan-orlando-hernandez-former-president-honduras-convicted-manhattan-federal-court
  • InsightCrime. (2024, December 11). Juan Orlando Hernández. https://insightcrime.org/honduras-organized-crime-news/juan-orlando-hernandez/
  • U.S. Department of Justice. (2024, June 26). Juan Orlando Hernandez sentenced to 45 years in prison. https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/juan-orlando-hernandez-former-president-honduras-sentenced-45-years-prison-conspiring

Claim 4: “Each boat is responsible for killing 25,000 Americans”

Verdict: FALSE / ABSURD

According to the CDC, there were more than 73,000 drug overdose deaths from May 2024 to April 2025. For Trump’s statement to be accurate, the drugs on five boats would have been responsible for 125,000 deaths, nearly double the number of overdose deaths in one year.

Carl Latkin, a Johns Hopkins University public health professor who studies substance use, stated: “The statement that each of the administration’s strikes on alleged drug-smuggling boats saves 25,000 lives is absurd. The evidence is similar to that of the moon being made of blue cheese”. Alene Kennedy-Hendricks, a Johns Hopkins health policy expert, told PolitiFact: “We don’t have any method I’m aware of for translating drug seizure data into any measure of overdose deaths averted”.

Drug experts told PolitiFact that Venezuela plays a minor role in trafficking drugs that reach the U.S., and the administration has provided no evidence about the type or quantity of drugs allegedly on the boats. When drugs are seized, the supply chain partially replaces those lost drugs, according to Carnegie Mellon drug policy researcher Jonathan Caulkins.

Sources:

  • PBS NewsHour. (2025, October 19). Fact-checking Trump’s claim that each boat strike off Venezuela’s coast saves 25,000 lives. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/fact-checking-trumps-claim-that-each-boat-strike-off-venezuelas-coast-saves-25000-lives
  • Associated Press. (2025, November). Fact focus: There’s no proof each strike on alleged drug boats saves 25,000 lives. https://www.whas11.com/article/syndication/associatedpress/fact-focus-theres-no-proof-each-strike-on-alleged-drug-boats-saves-25000-lives-as-trump-claims/616-96da1ae8-6d4c-41a4-97cb-2f0c425bb21a
  • PolitiFact. (2025, October 16). Fact-checking Donald Trump: Has each boat strike off the coast of Venezuela saved 25,000 lives? https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2025/oct/16/donald-trump/US-military-drug-boat-strike-Venezuela-save-25000/
  • CNN. (2025, October 8). Fact check: Trump’s absurd claim that he saved 100,000 lives by attacking Venezuelan drug boats. https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/08/politics/venezuela-drug-boats-trump

Claim 5: Somalia has “virtually no government, no military, no police”

Verdict: FALSE

Somalia has the Somali Armed Forces (SAF), which includes the Somali National Army (SNA), Somali Navy, and Somali Air Force, as well as the Somali National Police (SNP) under the Ministry of Internal Security. Over 20,000 troops have been trained over the past two years, with plans to train an additional 5,000 elite special forces in 2025.

Since January 2023, the Somali National Armed Forces (SNAF) have assumed control of 23 forward operating bases from the AU mission, with only one position recaptured by Al-Shabaab while the remaining 22 remain under SNAF control. The AU and Somalia reached an agreement in late February 2025 on troop allocation for the AU Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM), with several hundred police personnel from Egypt, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone deployed.

While Somalia faces serious challenges from the al-Shabaab insurgency and governance issues, it demonstrably has functioning government structures, military forces, and police.

Sources:

  • The World Countries. (2025). Military and security in Somalia. https://theworldcountries.com/geo/security/facts/Somalia
  • Amani Africa. (2025, April 28). Briefing on the situation in Somalia and AUSSOM. https://amaniafrica-et.org/briefing-on-the-situation-in-somalia-and-aussom/
  • Security Council Report. (2025, March 31). Somalia, April 2025 monthly forecast. https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2025-04/somalia-40.php

Claim 6: Rep. Ilhan Omar “supposedly came into our country by marrying her brother”

Verdict: UNSUBSTANTIATED / DEBUNKED

The Minneapolis Star-Tribune investigated and wrote in June 2019 that it “could neither conclusively confirm nor rebut the allegation that he is Omar’s sibling”. Multiple major U.S. media outlets, independent fact-checkers, and state records have found no evidence to support the claim.

Omar’s hometown paper, the Minneapolis Star Tribune, published an in-depth investigation showing that Omar gave the paper photos of her family’s immigration documents listing six siblings, all granted refugee status, with Elmi’s name not on the list. If Elmi were Omar’s brother, she or her siblings could have sponsored his application for citizenship under U.S. immigration law, making marriage unnecessary.

Snopes rated the claim “Unfounded” based on the absence of demonstrable evidence. Omar has denied the allegation, calling the charges “disgusting lies,” according to the Associated Press.

Despite years of scrutiny and multiple investigations, no credible evidence has emerged to substantiate this claim.

Sources:

  • PolitiFact. (2019, July 18). Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother? Her hometown newspaper investigated. https://www.politifact.com/article/2019/jul/18/did-ilhan-omar-marry-her-brother-her-hometown-news/
  • Snopes. (2025, March 20). Did U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar marry her brother? https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/ilhan-omar-marry-brother/
  • Africa Check. (n.d.). No evidence that US congresswoman Ilhan Omar married her brother. https://africacheck.org/fact-checks/meta-programme-fact-checks/no-evidence-us-congresswoman-ilhan-omar-married-her-brother

Claim 7: “Favored nations” will bring drug prices down “500, 600, 700%”

Verdict: MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE

Health economist Timothy McBride explained that a 500% price reduction would mean a drug that costs $100 would cost negative $400, stating: “I know of no drug company in the world that would give a person $400 to buy a drug that they are now pricing at $100”. CNN’s fact-check noted that if Trump magically got companies to reduce prices of all drugs to $0, that would be a 100% cut.

Trump appears to mean that some U.S. drugs cost 5-7 times MORE than in other countries, and tying U.S. prices to international prices could reduce costs by those multiples. However, this is not the same as a “500% decrease” in mathematical terms.

Health policy experts said it remains unclear how much prices will go down, which medicines will be impacted, and whether the “most favored nations” effort can be implemented at all. Trump tried to implement the Most Favored Nations rule during his first term, but it was eventually blocked by a court.

Sources:

  • CNN. (2025, September 23). Fact check: Trump’s mathematically impossible promise to cut drug prices by ‘1,000%’. https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/23/politics/fact-check-drug-prices-trump
  • CNBC. (2025, May 12). Trump most favored nations drug price executive order: What to know. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/12/trump-most-favored-nations-drug-price-order-what-to-know.html
  • BioSpace. (2025, April 23). Trump wants to bring back international drug pricing policy. https://www.biospace.com/policy/trump-wants-to-bring-back-international-drug-pricing-policy-reuters