United States President

Added to presidential data explorer: Economic indexes

Added to presidential data explorer: Economic indexes

Explore the economic record of presidents through the lens of two economic indexes. To examine the record of presidents regarding economics, I gathered data from several sources and present it in an interactive visualization. Today, two economic indexes have been added. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia calculates two indexes that track and forecast economic activity in the states and the country as a whole. The coincident index is a measure of current and past economic activity for each state. The average value for the complete year 2007 is given the value 100. The leading index predicts the six-month growth…
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Added to presidential data explorer: Primary Energy Net Imports

Added to presidential data explorer: Primary Energy Net Imports

Explore the economic record of presidents through the lens of energy independence. To examine the record of presidents regarding economics, I gathered data from several sources and present it in an interactive visualization. New to the visualization is Primary Energy Net Imports. When this number is negative, it means the United States is exporting more energy than it imports. This data comes from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Primary energy is "Energy in the form that it is first accounted for in a statistical energy balance, before any transformation to secondary or tertiary forms of energy. For example, coal can…
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Added to presidential data explorer: Mortgage rates

Added to presidential data explorer: Mortgage rates

Explore the economic record of presidents through the lens of mortgage interest rates. To examine the record of presidents regarding economics, I gathered data from several sources and present it in an interactive visualization. New to the visualization is the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States, not seasonally adjusted. For each president, data is presented by month, with the first month of each president's term having number one. Presidents that served two full terms have data up to month 96 of their term, while others have fewer months. Data is shown in several views: A table. A timeline…
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Consumer sentiment index by presidential term

Consumer sentiment index by presidential term

For many years the University of Michigan as published a survey of consumers, with one output being a consumer sentiment index. More information about the index can be found here. I've gathered this data and present it in two ways. One is through my interactive visualization Presidential Data Explorer. The second way is via an animated chart, presented below. The horizontal index is the number of months into each presidential term. This animation stops at the first term. Use the animation below, or click here to open in a new window.
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Dow Jones by presidential term

Dow Jones by presidential term

An animated chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average for each month of a presidential term. To help evaluate the performance of presidents in growing the economy, here is an animated chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average for each month of a presidential term. The performance of the stock market is not the same as the performance of the economy, and the DIA is not a broad measure of the performance of stock markets. Nonetheless, it is often cited. The base data in this chart is the average daily close for all days in a month. Then, I compute…
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Herman Cain, RIP

Today we learned that Herman Cain has died at the age of 74. He had been hospitalized with COVID-19, according to a statement on his website. He was an interesting man. In 2010, as he was rising in national prominence, I interviewed him in his hotel suite in Las Vegas. He ran for president in 2012. For my interview, click on Herman Cain: Conservatives should dream, be united, informed, inspired.
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Presidential data explorer

Presidential data explorer

Explore the economic record of presidents, starting with Harry S Truman. To examine the record of presidents regarding economics, I gathered data from several sources and present it in an interactive visualization. Data includes: Jobs Labor force Unemployment Dow Jones stock market index Gross Domestic Product Inflation For each president, data is presented by month, with the first month of each president's term having number one. Presidents that served two full terms have data up to month 96 of their term, while others have fewer months. A nearby example shows the proportional growth in the Dow for each month of…
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Presidential jobs explorer

Presidential jobs explorer

Explore the jobs creation record of presidents, starting with Harry S Truman. To examine the record of presidents regarding jobs, I gathered data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, part of the United States Department of Labor and present it in an interactive visualization. The data shown in this visualization is all employees working at nonfarm jobs, seasonally adjusted. This is the statistic most commonly used when measuring the growth or contraction of employment. For each president, data is presented by month, with the first month of each president's term having number one. Data is shown in several views. For…
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Electoral College math

Electoral College math

In the Electoral College, residents of different states have widely varying influence. When thinking about the desirability of the Electoral College for electing a president, the arithmetic should be considered. I have performed a few calculations, gathering state populations and the number of Electoral College votes. Here are the two extremes: In Wyoming, there are 192,579 people for each Electoral College vote (577,737 / 3). In Texas, the number is 755,312. That's a difference of 3.92, which is a lot, I would say. For Kansas, the number is 485,251. The average value for a state (weighting all states equally) is…
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Kansas Republicans should have their say

Kansas Republicans should have their say

Kansas Republicans should insist on having a voice in choosing the next Republican presidential nominee. The Kansas Republican Party has decided to deny giving rank-and-file party members a voice in choosing its presidential nominee for next year. In a release, the party says : "The Kansas Republican Party will not organize a Caucus for the 2020 election because President Trump is an elected incumbent from the Republican Party." The release gives a reason: "Every time an elected incumbent Republican has run for re-election, except in 1912, the Kansas Republican Party state convention adopted a resolution instructing all delegates to vote…
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